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  • expert headshot
    Will Brinson
    +1065
    (67%)
    14-7 in Last 21 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    D. Henry
    Over 89.5
    -113
    Rushing Yards
    Picked: Oct 28 @ 12:14pm

    Analysis

    Prior to an inexplicable rushing no show from Bijan Robinson (the Falcons gave him just nine carries after getting behind early against the Dolphins) the Dolphins had surrendered a three-TD game to Quinshon Judkins, a 120+ yard game to Kimani Vidal and a 200-yard game to Rico Dowdle on the ground. I'm trusting Baltimore to lean into Henry here and would expect this number to move up as we get closer to Thursday if Lamar Jackson is cleared. If you have BetRivers you can still get 86.5 -- this number will climb into the mid 90's by kickoff bare minimum. Short week, injured QB, you feed the Big Dog and secure a win as a heavy road favorite.
  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    #3
    +1185
    (54%)
    83-70 in Last 153 NFL Picks
    Under 50.5
    +100
    Over/Under
    Picked: Oct 28 @ 2:21pm

    Analysis

    Lamar Jackson is expected to be back for the Ravens in this matchup, which is contributing to this total being in the 50s. I don't think that's giving credit to the Ravens defense getting healthy coming out of their bye in Week 7. The Dolphins offense doesn't seem like it has nearly as much to worry about as Chicago last week for Baltimore, and I see it as unlikely that Tua Tagovailoa strings together two good games in a row. I expect the Ravens' offensive gameplan to be a bit conservative with Jackson returning from injury as they stick to running the ball and keeping the clock moving. This total is about 2-3 points too high for me.
  • expert headshot
    Daniel Vithlani
    Danny Brasco
    Baltimore
    Over 29.5
    -116
    Away Team Total
    Picked: Oct 29 @ 9:35am

    Analysis

    Last 29.5 I see available on the board is at Bet Rivers. Baltimore backup QB Tyler Huntley helped the Ravens put up 30 last week against the Bears. Now they get back their MVP QB Lamar Jackson, who will have his full complement of blockers; FB Patrick Ricard, TE Isaiah Likely, and LT Ronnie Stanley. Now they face a Dolphins team on a short week, who are coming off an impressive upset win over the Falcons, but are not to be trusted. Miami’s weak run defense is likely to get pummeled by Derrick Henry & crew. John Harbaugh has faced Mike McDaniel twice with Lamar Jackson starting at QB… Baltimore dropped 94 combined points in those two games.
  • expert headshot
    Daniel Vithlani
    #1
    +1486.5
    (58%)
    49-35 in Last 84 NFL Picks
    BAL -7.5
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Oct 29 @ 1:30pm

    Analysis

    This looks like a Ravens smash spot. Lamar Jackson is back (for real this time). After last week's win and improved defensive performance, the Ravens looked poised to hit the accelerator and jump right back into the AFC North picture. When playing on a short week, Dolphins HC Mike McDaniel is 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS, losing by an average of 14 ppg. I feel that Miami's win over Atlanta last week was more of a "dead cat bounce" than a sign of real hope. The Falcons are disappearing artists. Baltimore's healthy offense can exploit Miami's 31st DVOA ranked defense to get their mojo going. The last time Tua Tagovailoa faced the Ravens, he threw 2 interceptions in a game that Baltimore won 56-19.
  • expert headshot
    Larry Hartstein
    #4
    +1005
    (66%)
    25-13 in Last 38 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    J. Waddle
    Over 61.5
    -115
    Receiving Yards
    Picked: Oct 29 @ 2:09pm

    Analysis

    Since Tyreek Hill suffered a serious knee injury against the Jets in Week 4, Jaylen Waddle has assumed the role of Miami's No. 1 wideout. Waddle has recorded 95-plus receiving yards in three of the four games, the exception coming at Cleveland in difficult conditions against an elite defense. I expect the Dolphins to be playing catch-up and for Tua Tagovailoa to target Waddle heavily. Waddle has drawn six-plus targets in six of the past seven games, the outlier coming at Cleveland. I would play this to 64.5.

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